Emerald Horizon: €135m equity plan could pave the way for institutional funding - NuWays AG Research
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Emerald Horizon: €135m equity plan could pave the way for institutional funding - NuWays AG Research

*€135m equity financing ambition, with substantial incentives for long-term investors. *Potential EIB financing could provide institutional validation and materially de-risk ADES development.

Emerald Horizon plans to raise c. € 135m through up to five capital increases by Q3 2028, compared with our previous estimate of € 72m through YE 2028. The initial subscription price of c. €1,013 represents an 11.9% discount to Monday's closing price (€ 1,150). Importantly, CEO and majority shareholder Florian Wagner (52.9% stake) offers investors subscribing at least € 5m an additional 36 shares per 100 subscribed, transferred from his personal holdings after a 36 month period. Available for binding commitments before the initial € 45m subscription threshold is reached, this implies an effective entry price of c. € 745 per share, a 35.2% discount to Monday's close, without additional dilution. Note that Mr Wagner has already pledged € 20m in equity contributions over 2026–2028. Proceeds will support ADES development with VDL Groep and the equity component of DUALstore deployments.

Limited valuation impact, potentially meaningful financing catalyst. Incorporating the announced €135m equity financing programme has a negligible impact on our DCF-based PT. Successful execution could nevertheless strengthen Emerald's financial position and improve visibility over its development roadmap. Potential EIB participation would represent a meaningful financing and credibility catalyst, although execution, financing and regulatory risks remain material.

BUY, PT € 1,300 unchanged.
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