Steyr Motors: Takeover reshapes the investment case; down to HOLD - NuWays AG Research
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Steyr Motors: Takeover reshapes the investment case; down to HOLD - NuWays AG Research

We downgrade Steyr Motors from BUY to HOLD and set a technical PT of € 39 (prev. € 49), in line with Red Cat's cash offer. We continue to see long-term standalone value above the offer price. However, Red Cat intends to initiate a delisting after settlement, subject to the applicable withdrawal and exit-offer requirements. The expected reduction in free float also points to lower trading liquidity. With the offer still subject to completion risk and limited visibility on shareholders' ability to realise the standalone upside, we no longer see a compelling case for new investment.

We expect a stronger finish to the year. KNDS deliveries and call-offs under the US Navy SEALs tender support the acceleration embedded in our forecasts. Our FY26 estimates remain close to the midpoints of management's confirmed guidance of 15-25% sales growth and an 8-12% EBIT margin. Nonetheless, the delays seen earlier this year leave some uncertainty over the timing of individual project revenues (eNuW).

HOLD (old: BUY), new technical PT of € 39 (old: € 49), based on the takeover offer price, which represents a c. 29% premium to the last Xetra closing price before the announcement.
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