OHB: Funded for the next growth orbit, chg. & PT Up - NuWays AG Research
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OHB: Funded for the next growth orbit, chg. & PT Up - NuWays AG Research

Following the capital increase and the new mid-term outlook presented at its CMD, OHB is in our view well positioned to win and execute on upcoming contracts. This is supported by a strengthened balance sheet, a clear right to win as Europe’s leading independent space prime, and a multi-year demand upcycle backed by rising ESA, EU and national defence budgets. This supports our BUY.

Potential catalyst: Rocket Factory Augsburg (RFA). RFA remains outside OHB’s new mid-term guidance and is only captured in our valuation as a financial asset worth € 145m. Yet, the asset could become more visible soon. RFA is developing RFA ONE, a three-stage small-launch vehicle for flexible European access to orbit. Its maiden flight from SaxaVord, targeted for summer 2026, could bring it closer to commercialisation. Isar Aerospace, RFA’s closest German peer, is slightly further advanced, having already completed a first test flight with its own launcher, but it is also still pre-commercial. Hence, its reported valuation of € >2bn in June 2026 (following a private financing round) provides a useful, albeit imperfect, cross-read for a potential post-first-flight valuation of RFA.

Action: the recent capital increase as well as credible new mid-term targets are reflected in our estimates (new 2030 sales: € 4bn, previously: € 3.5bn). BUY, new PT € 340 (old: € 320), on DCF.
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