Coor: Better earnings and cash flows - ABG
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Coor: Better earnings and cash flows - ABG

Q2 results
Coor continued the positive trend and delivered better earnings than expected in Q2 while improving the cash conversion q-o-q as well. Sales were SEK 3,199m (3% vs ABGSC, 3% vs cons), 1% y-o-y whereof 3% organic. The organic growth was driven by strong performance in Norway which saw unusually high variable volumes (23% organic growth y-o-y). Adj. EBITA was SEK 165m (18% vs ABGSC, 7% vs cons), 2% y-o-y, also driven by Norway (37% y-o-y, 37% vs ABGSC, 48% vs cons). EBITA in Sweden and Denmark were slightly below expectations (-2% and -7%, respectively). The gearing increased slightly q-o-q to 2.9x (2.8x) driven by the seasonally weak cash flow in Q2. Cash conversion was -5% (-42% Q2'24) but improved significantly y-o-y leading to 40% LTM, up from 29% in Q1'25.

Preliminary estimate changes
Management highlighted that the reorganisation has been completed during Q2 which should support better margins in H2, in line with expectations. It was also encouraging to see that Coor has signed the first contracts with the public sector in Norway, which is a significant untapped opportunity. In terms of estimate revisions, we do not expect that the beat in Norway to be extrapolated, we therefore expect limited but slightly positive revisions of 1-2%.

Final thoughts
Share has been strong recently and is +28% YTD and trades as 11x NTM EBITA (FactSet consensus), which is 10% below Nordic service peers. We continue to believe that Coor is on the right track and that we should see further margins improvements ahead. Management will host a presentation of the report at 10:00 CET (link).
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